For professional and qualified investors only

Adaptive models
Uncorrelated alpha

QuantNova Capital is a systematic trading firm generating short-horizon alpha in equity-index futures through machine-learning models that detect and adapt to shifting volatility and trend regimes. Positions are taken long or short based purely on the signal, with no directional market bias — designed to sit uncorrelated to equity, credit, and macro risk premia.*

*Figures presented on this site are backtested / target metrics unless stated otherwise. Past and simulated performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. See our full disclaimer.

The Allocator's Problem

Traditional diversifiers are running out of edge

Cross-asset correlation is rising

Equities, credit, and many macro strategies increasingly move together in stress regimes, eroding the diversification investors pay for.

Static models decay fast

Most systematic strategies are calibrated to a single regime and lose edge as liquidity, volatility, and microstructure conditions shift.

Long-horizon CTAs miss intraday inefficiencies

Classic trend and macro strategies operate on multi-day to multi-week horizons, leaving short-term order-flow and liquidity dislocations largely unharvested.

A genuine diversifier needs a different data horizon, a different signal source, and a model that adapts as the regime changes.

Our Edge

Three pillars of the alpha thesis

Regime-adaptive models

Trades are only taken when prevailing volatility and trend conditions support the model's edge — the strategy adapts its stance as market regimes shift, rather than committing to one behavior throughout.

Statistical pattern recognition

A proprietary machine-learning classifier identifies short-lived statistical patterns in intraday price behavior — a non-linear read on market state, not a directional forecast.

Risk-first sizing

Every trade is sized and exited under a strict, rules-based risk budget — exposure and turnover are calibrated to what's actually tradable, with transaction costs modeled and reviewed continuously as capacity scales.

Not a discretionary manager. Every position is model-generated and rule-based; there is no discretionary override of signals.

Not a trend-following CTA. Our holding periods are intraday to short-term — we are not harvesting multi-week or multi-month trends.

Not a black box without oversight. Models are monitored continuously against live regime and risk limits, with full research transparency available to allocators under NDA.

Not directionally biased. The strategy is systematic long-short — positions are taken based purely on the signal, not a market view, on either side of the trade.

Positioning

Where we sit versus established systematic managers

QuantNova occupies a distinct niche: short time-horizon, high regime-adaptivity — a combination underrepresented among established CTAs and multi-strategy quant funds.

High regime-adaptivity Static / low adaptivity Short horizon Long horizon Adaptive macro & multi-strategy funds High-frequency market making Traditional trend-following CTAs QuantNova Capital Short-horizon & regime-adaptive
Track Record

Seven years, out-of-sample, uncorrelated

The flagship strategy's out-of-sample record spans July 2019 to June 2026 — engineered for capital preservation first, upside second.

9.3%
Net CAGR
1.6
Sharpe Ratio
-4.6%
Max Drawdown
0.02
Correlation to S&P 500

Based on a seven-year out-of-sample track record (Jul 2019 – Jun 2026) on the flagship systematic strategy, net of modeled costs. Out-of-sample performance is not indicative of future results and does not represent a live, audited track record. See our full performance disclaimer.

The Offering

Access via Actively Managed Certificate

The AMC structure gives investors regulated, custodian-held exposure to the strategy without operational or infrastructure build-out. A direct capital allocation / signal-licensing route is also available for institutional counterparties.

Early / Strategic

Early Allocation Tier

Management fee1.0% – 1.1%
Performance fee12% – 14%
High-water markYes

For early and strategic investors supporting initial scale-up of the AMC.

Who We Work With

Built for professional allocators

Family Offices

Uncorrelated, liquid diversification alongside long-only and private-market books.

HNW Individuals

Regulated AMC access to a systematic strategy without direct trading infrastructure.

Asset Managers

A short-horizon, regime-adaptive sleeve to complement existing systematic allocations.

Hedge Funds

Direct capital allocation or signal-licensing arrangements for institutional counterparties.

Request Information

Speak with the team

This site is intended for professional and qualified investors. Submit your details to receive our investor deck, due-diligence materials, and to schedule an introductory call — no obligation.

  • info@quantnovacapital.com
  • Zürich, Switzerland

Nothing on this page constitutes an offer or solicitation. See our full disclaimer.

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