For professional and qualified investors only

Adaptive models
Uncorrelated alpha

QuantNova Capital is a systematic trading firm generating short-horizon alpha in equity-index futures through machine-learning models that detect and adapt to shifting volatility and trend regimes. Positions are taken long or short based purely on the signal, with no directional market bias — designed to sit uncorrelated to equity, credit, and macro risk premia.*

*Figures presented on this site are backtested / target metrics unless stated otherwise. Past and simulated performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. See our full disclaimer.

The Allocator's Problem

Traditional diversifiers are running out of edge

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Cross-asset correlation is rising

Equities, credit, and many macro strategies increasingly move together in stress regimes, eroding the diversification investors pay for.

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Static models decay fast

Most systematic strategies are calibrated to a single regime and lose edge as liquidity, volatility, and microstructure conditions shift.

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Long-horizon CTAs miss intraday inefficiencies

Classic trend and macro strategies operate on multi-day to multi-week horizons, leaving short-term order-flow and liquidity dislocations largely unharvested.

A genuine diversifier needs a different data horizon, a different signal source, and a model that adapts as the regime changes.

Our Edge

Three pillars of the alpha thesis

Regime-adaptive models

Trades are only taken when prevailing volatility and trend conditions support the model's edge — the strategy adapts its stance as market regimes shift, rather than committing to one behavior throughout.

Statistical pattern recognition

A proprietary machine-learning classifier identifies short-lived statistical patterns in intraday price behavior — a non-linear read on market state, not a directional forecast.

Risk-first sizing

Every trade is sized and exited under a strict, rules-based risk budget — exposure and turnover are calibrated to what's actually tradable, with transaction costs modeled and reviewed continuously as capacity scales.

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Not a discretionary manager. Every position is model-generated and rule-based; there is no discretionary override of signals.

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Not a trend-following CTA. Our holding periods are intraday to short-term — we are not harvesting multi-week or multi-month trends.

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Not a black box without oversight. Models are monitored continuously against live regime and risk limits, with full research transparency available to allocators under NDA.

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Not directionally biased. The strategy is systematic long-short — positions are taken based purely on the signal, not a market view, on either side of the trade.

Positioning

Where we sit versus established systematic managers

QuantNova occupies a distinct niche: short time-horizon, high regime-adaptivity — a combination underrepresented among established CTAs and multi-strategy quant funds.

High regime-adaptivity Static / low adaptivity Short horizon Long horizon Adaptive macro & multi-strategy funds High-frequency market making Traditional trend-following CTAs QuantNova Capital Short-horizon & regime-adaptive
Track Record

Seven years, out-of-sample, uncorrelated

The flagship strategy's out-of-sample record spans July 2019 to June 2026 — engineered for capital preservation first, upside second.

9.3%
Net CAGR
1.6
Sharpe Ratio
-4.6%
Max Drawdown
0.02
Correlation to S&P 500

Based on a seven-year out-of-sample track record (Jul 2019 – Jun 2026) on the flagship systematic strategy, net of modeled costs. Out-of-sample performance is not indicative of future results and does not represent a live, audited track record. See our full performance disclaimer.

The Offering

Access via Actively Managed Certificate

The AMC structure gives investors regulated, custodian-held exposure to the strategy without operational or infrastructure build-out. A direct capital allocation / signal-licensing route is also available for institutional counterparties.

Early / Strategic

Early Allocation Tier

Management fee1.0% – 1.1%
Performance fee12% – 14%
High-water markYes

For early and strategic investors supporting initial scale-up of the AMC.

Who We Work With

Built for professional allocators

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Family Offices

Uncorrelated, liquid diversification alongside long-only and private-market books.

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HNW Individuals

Regulated AMC access to a systematic strategy without direct trading infrastructure.

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Asset Managers

A short-horizon, regime-adaptive sleeve to complement existing systematic allocations.

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Hedge Funds

Direct capital allocation or signal-licensing arrangements for institutional counterparties.

Request Information

Speak with the team

This site is intended for professional and qualified investors. Submit your details to receive our investor deck, due-diligence materials, and to schedule an introductory call — no obligation.

  • info@quantnovacapital.com
  • Zürich, Switzerland

Nothing on this page constitutes an offer or solicitation. See our full disclaimer.

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